Posts Tagged 'general election'

Gordon Brown’s speech on Tues June 16th 2009

I shall avoid commenting on the rhetoric and go to the bare bones (trust me, it was mind numbing in a reality TV awkward manner – lots of letters from the public, Oprah Winfrey-esque rubbish).
GB basically said that under Labour, you get more money for the NHS, Tax Credit, Education whereas the Tories will cut these.
This is the propaganda that the public will be faced with for the next twelve months. The lasts gasps of a dying man. When will this man admit some culpability over this recession created under his Chancellorship instead of hiding behind “world recession” nonsense!
This ‘spending cuts’ argument against the Tories had its validity 24 months ago but the fact is that cuts must take place whichever party is in charge. The only point of discussion is where these will be applied. By ringfencing the NHS, George Osborne has forced Labour into the screeching of “10% cuts” knowing that cuts and tax increases must be applied. The public will be wary of this mantra by next June however and the msg of austerity will soak in. GB should only have begun this discussion if he intends to hold an autumn election. Or perhaps he does?
GB did omit that the last 12 years have been a historical time of calm hence the government’s ability to increase spending and increase taxes stealithy (think fiscal drag). Unless the govt comes out and is honest with its plans and not hide behind talk of “who knows what interest rates will be next year” and “we don’t know how much the economy will grow”, it will be swept out of power leaving a rump of a presence in Parliament. What is the point of the Treasury fiscal models, if not to plan for all scenarios?

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Cameron launches Europe Manifesto

Somewhat dwarfed by the Speaker’s speech, David Cameron launched his manifesto for Europe today. He impressed with the first half of his brief oratory. The euro sceptics of the country have long called out for a representative who is not a europhobe. There is a clear distinction to be made between reform within Europe and leaving the cosy club (but that should always be retained as a possible outcome should change not take place). The direct connection of the rebate to CAP reform is vital if a CAP solution is to be found. It is a collective disgrace that farmers of wealthier nations receive more than farmers of poorer nations in what is supposed to be a club of equality. A commitment to attack the gravy train of the Eurocrats was also welcoming.
The second half of the speech was less inspiring. The call for a general election seems ill timed. The reaction of voters in a general election at this time is very much an unknown. Whilst DC has responded well to the expenses debacle, the Conservative vote is still down in polls and may lead to less seats than expected. In twelve months, DC’s reaction will be seen to be a sign of a man in touch with the nation but general disdain for politicians will have subsided resulting in a withering of the votes for the minor parties ensuring a smoother election result. Mr Cameron’s desire for government is understandable but in this case, patience is a virtue.


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